feat: prediction market endpoint — agent manifest milestone

[danbuildss]

What

Public endpoint tracking the prediction market question:

"Will 100 agents declare wallets via the Agent Wallet Manifest before August?"

GET /api/v1/predictions/agent-manifest-milestone

No auth required. Cached 5 minutes (s-maxage=300).

Response shape

{
  "question": "Will 100 agents declare wallets via the Agent Wallet Manifest before August?",
  "metric": "agents_with_manifest_declared_wallets",
  "current": 23,
  "target": 100,
  "deadline": "2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z",
  "days_remaining": 39,
  "progress_pct": 23,
  "resolved": false,
  "resolution": null,
  "outcome": null,
  "trend": {
    "delta_7d": 4,
    "rate_per_day": 0.57,
    "projected_by_deadline": 45,
    "on_track": false
  },
  "context": {
    "total_agents_in_registry": 87,
    "manifest_attributed": 23,
    "discovered_not_manifest": 31,
    "unattributed": 33,
    "definition": "manifest_attributed = agent has ≥1 manifest-declared wallet of type eoa or treasury_contract",
    "manifest_guide": "https://www.zettaai.co/manifest"
  },
  "generated_at": "..."
}

Resolution logic

State	resolved	resolution
In progress	false	null
Target hit (≥ 100 agents)	true	"YES"
Deadline passed, target not hit	true	"NO"

Resolves YES the moment manifest_attributed_agents >= 100, even before August 1.

Implementation notes

• Data source: getAttributionMetrics() — same source as attribution health dashboard
• Trend: uses existing agent_gdp_history snapshots (attributed_agents field) — no new tables
• manifest_attributed definition is strict: evidenceSource === manifest AND address_type ∈ {eoa, treasury_contract}
• Deadline hardcoded: 2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

https://claude.ai/code/session_01RHDXdEbGQsn88zks713gye

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Generated by Claude Code

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Project	Deployment	Actions	Updated (UTC)
zetta	Ready	Preview, Comment	Jun 23, 2026 6:49pm