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markov-blanket

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VeFloodBN: 基于离散贝叶斯网络的意大利威尼托大区市镇级洪涝风险建模。模型融合人均GDP、人口密度、坡度、河网密度、降雨频率等 12 个节点,构建因果有向无环图(DAG);采用最大似然估计学习条件概率表,通过结构校验、马尔可夫毯与活跃路径分析保证模型合理性。支持精确变量消元,并对比拒绝采样、似然加权与吉布斯 MCMC 等近似推理方法。连续变量经分位数离散化后,实现逐市镇批量后验概率推断,利用 GeoPandas 输出空间风险热力图。针对 Top‑N 风险排名引入分层/比例采样策略,结合 Jaccard 与 Overlap 指标评估结论稳健性;同时提供单因子边际效应、稀有证据下采样效率对比及条件独立可视化,兼具可解释性与推断鲁棒性。

  • Updated May 7, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

A K4-engine cybernetic runtime for AI swarms. Replaces semantic theater with thermodynamic constraint. Uses the K4 Algebra of Four-Fold Distinction to achieve phase-lock, prevent trajectory loss, and execute structurally coherent agent instantiation.

  • Updated Jul 24, 2026
  • TypeScript

Multipath derivation of a formal algebraic framework — the Algebra of Four-Fold Distinction — which is then applied across physics, cognition, and AI alignment. Includes technical and subjective narratives.

  • Updated Jul 21, 2026
  • Common Lisp

This repository contains a collection of lab exercises and exams from the TDDE15: Advanced Machine Learning course taking at Linköping Univerity during the fall 2024. The main topics are: Bayesian Networks, Hidden Markov Models, Q-learning, REINFORCE, and Gaussian Processes.

  • Updated Nov 6, 2024
  • R

William Blake, Professor Jiang, and the Architecture of Intelligence — rapid AI-augmented scholarly response to Game Theory #24: The AI Apocalypse (12 May 2026). Triangulates Jiang's diagnosis with Blake's perceptual diagnostics and Friston's Active Inference.

  • Updated May 12, 2026
  • Python

Cognition layer for autonomous agents — modular OSS packages for active-inference reasoning, thoughtseed competition, computational phenomenology, and workspace dynamics. Each adopts alone. Companion to elume (memory layer).

  • Updated Apr 25, 2026
  • Shell

An audit-grade collaborative review of active inference free energy minimization, by an organic operator and AI co-contributors. Reviewable foundations, reproducible tests (87 deterministic pytest assertions across 11 numerical demonstrations), open tensions.

  • Updated Apr 28, 2026
  • Elixir

14+ candidate semantic dualities across 6 algebraic layers, 72 primitives connected by a DAG, validated via 8 domains + 3 negative controls (DVS), Bayesian model comparison (BF=121), and a 72-bit triadic head over GPT-2 Medium / GPT-Neo

  • Updated May 4, 2026
  • HTML

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