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docs: soften three README/METHOD claims the report CSVs do not support - #5

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round3-doc-reconcile
Oct 29, 2026
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tdub29 merged 1 commit into
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round3-doc-reconcile

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@tdub29 tdub29 commented Oct 29, 2026

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Reconciled README.md and METHOD.md against the committed reports at efdf513. Every number, count, period, interval method and Holm family already matched the CSVs. An independent read flagged three conclusions stated more strongly than the evidence:

  • Feature families: only red-zone and all three lower the lift beyond week-block noise; drive-level and leg strength intervals include zero.
  • The 15+ calibration match being errors cancelling is a possibility model.py notes, not a measured fact.
  • The 50+ long-attempt rate dipped in 2023 and 2025 rather than rising every year.

Also names the live 2026 interval as a t interval. No report, model or data file changes.

Feature families: only red-zone and all three lower the lift beyond
week-block noise. The 15+ cancellation is a possibility model.py notes,
not a measured fact. The 50+ long rate dipped in 2023 and 2025. Name the
live interval as a t interval.
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tdub29 merged commit 5e83ff2 into main Oct 29, 2026
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