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docs: 13-night rerun of the sequence-decoding ablation - #10

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ng merged 2 commits into
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docs/decoding-13-nights
Oct 23, 2026
Merged

ng merged 2 commits into
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docs/decoding-13-nights

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@ng ng commented Oct 23, 2026

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Summary

  • Adds a 13-night rerun section to knowledge/evaluation/sequence-decoding-2026-10-21.md, using the same script and grid.
  • No decoder beats production smoothing per night; every 95% interval includes zero.
  • The 10-night gains did not hold:
    • argmax on depth-8: +0.021 became −0.001.
    • Viterbi on balanced_leaf10: +0.018 became −0.008.
  • The 13 nights are the earlier 10 plus Oct 19–21, from a fresh Health export.
  • The original 10-night text stays, marked as superseded.
  • Updates the evaluation index summary and the update log.

Test plan

  • validate_knowledge.py
  • Table values copied from seqdecode-20261022T192528Z-export-1022/report.json; night overlap checked (10 shared, 3 new).

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

https://claude.ai/code/session_016Wac1uHSpomCEBtwBdw1YA

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_016Wac1uHSpomCEBtwBdw1YA
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Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_016Wac1uHSpomCEBtwBdw1YA
@ng
ng merged commit 8874faf into main Oct 23, 2026
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@ng
ng deleted the docs/decoding-13-nights branch October 23, 2026 02:46
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