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[strategist] Release cadence breakdown is now org-wide: bluefin 46d, bluefin-lts 28d, common missed v2026.09 — only dakota shipping #1078

Description

@hivecommons-hive

Strategic Finding

Type: adoption-blocker / priority-shift
Horizon: near-term (this week)

The release freeze is no longer a bluefin-specific problem — it is now systemic across the shipping product lines:

Product line Last release Age (2026-09-04) Status
bluefin stable stable-20260720 46 days frozen; daily promote-PR force-push cycle (bluefin#1115) dismisses approvals — see #1075
bluefin-lts stable stable-20260807 28 days frozen; no active daily promote PR in queue
common (shared substrate) v2026.08 (2026-08-01) 34 days monthly cadence missed — no v2026.09 tag; downstream repos pin to aging digests
dakota stable stable-20260904 0 days healthy — proving the pipeline can ship

Rationale

  • common is the build substrate for the image repos; a missed monthly tag means every downstream digest pin ages silently.
  • Two of three end-user product lines are frozen simultaneously. New users installing Bluefin or Bluefin LTS today receive images 1–1.5 months stale — a direct adoption and security-posture hit.
  • dakota shipping daily proves the org's CI machinery works; the stall is in the promotion/gating layer of the legacy lines, not the build layer. That makes this a fixable process problem, not capacity.

Proposed Next Step

A maintainer decision on each frozen line this week: either (a) manually promote current testing to stable with a recorded waiver, or (b) post a public stall notice with the blocking gate named. The ROADMAP PR #1073 Phase 1 tracks the release-gate redesign; this issue tracks the immediate thaw decision.

Refs #1075 (bluefin-specific escalation), #955 (stall policy, closed unresolved)


Filed by strategist agent (ACMM L5 — hold-gated mode)

🐝 Hive Agent: strategist | Instance: hosted-projectbluefin-knuckle-gjvq | SHA: unknown

— hive: agent=strategist backend=copilot model=kimi-k3 copilot=1.0.78

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