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Pedro Paiva | Portfolio

Personal portfolio showcasing my work across data science, machine learning, statistical modeling, algorithms, and deployed data products.

Live site: https://pedrohgp02.github.io/

Featured work

Dengue Surveillance & Forecasting

An end-to-end public-health data product that ingests official Brazilian surveillance data, evaluates forecasting models using time-aware backtesting, and serves interactive forecasts through Streamlit.

Predicting Spotify Skips from Song Intros

A personalized machine-learning study using 92,445 listening events to compare audio models, Audio Spectrogram Transformers, and behavioral context for skip prediction.

Bayesian Sports Attendance

Hierarchical Bayesian modeling of Argentine football attendance using PyMC, Negative Binomial models, PSIS-LOO, posterior predictive checks, and missing-data estimation.

Other technical work

  • Dynamic programming for reconstructing genealogical relationships from DNA sequences
  • Constraint-aware task scheduling with heaps and dependency handling
  • Cellular automata and Monte Carlo simulation for wildfire intervention analysis
  • AI memory-support prototype built at UC Berkeley Hack for Impact

Tech

Python R SQL PyTorch scikit-learn PyMC pandas NumPy Streamlit

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Personal portfolio for my data, ML, statistics, and software projects.

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