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Conformal Inference Prediction Regions for Multivariate Response Regression

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Welcome to the Conformal Inference Prediction Regions for Multivariate Response Regression package! This repository provides a Python implementation of a robust and versatile tool for constructing valid prediction regions at levels (1-�lpha) or (1-2�lpha) in multivariate response regression. The package extends the widely used Conformal Prediction methods to handle multivariate response data, accommodating a wide range of data distributions without relying on Gaussian assumptions.

Originally developed as part of a Master’s thesis in Mathematical Engineering at Politecnico di Milano, this package empowers analysts and researchers to make accurate predictions across diverse datasets while embracing the flexibility of a non-parametric approach.


Key Features

  • Handles Multivariate Response Regression: Extends conformal prediction methods to multivariate data.
  • Distribution-Free: No assumptions of Gaussian data, making it suitable for diverse real-world scenarios.
  • Customizable and Modular: Separates regression methods from prediction methods for enhanced flexibility.
  • Visualization Support: Includes functions for plotting and interpreting prediction regions.

Code Structure

The package is structured into distinct function families to streamline the workflow:

  1. Prediction Methods
    Compute valid prediction regions using different conformal inference approaches.

  2. Regression Methods
    Use built-in regression techniques or integrate your own models. Supported methods include linear regression, ridge, lasso, and elastic net.

  3. Plotting Methods
    Visualize prediction regions and model outputs with specialized plotting functions.

This modular design provides maximum flexibility, allowing you to tailor the package to your specific regression analysis needs.


Key Functions

The package provides a rich set of functions to enable and enhance regression analysis. Here are the core functions:

Function Description
conformal_multi_full Computes Full Conformal prediction regions
conformal_multi_split Computes Split Conformal prediction regions
conformal_multi_msplit Computes Multi-Split Conformal prediction regions
get_prediction_model Creates and retrieves regression models for prediction
plot_multi_full Visualizes Full Conformal prediction as scatter plots
plot_multi_full_contour Visualizes Full Conformal prediction as contour plots
plot_multi_split Custom visualizations for Split Conformal predictions
plot_multi_msplit Plots Multi-Split Conformal prediction regions

How to Use

  1. Install the Package
    Clone this repository and install the package using:

    pip install .
  2. Import and Configure
    Import the package and use its functions for your analysis:

    from conformal_inference import conformal_multidim_full, plot_multidim_full_scatter
  3. Compute Prediction Regions
    Fit your regression model, then use the conformal methods to compute prediction regions:

    prediction_region = conformal_multidim_full(model, X_train, Y_train, X_test, alpha=0.1)
  4. Visualize Results
    Use the plotting functions to explore your prediction regions:

    plot_multidim_full_scatter(prediction_region)

Theoretical Insights

For a comprehensive understanding of the theoretical foundations, refer to the original thesis and supporting materials. A detailed analysis is available in this research paper.


Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the following contributors for their invaluable guidance and support:

  • Prof. Simone Vantini - Politecnico di Milano
  • Dr. Jacopo Diquigiovanni - Research collaborator
  • Dr. Matteo Fontana - Research collaborator
  • Prof. Aldo Solari - Università Bicocca di Milano

Their expertise and contributions were instrumental in shaping this package into a powerful tool for multivariate regression analysis.


Getting Started

Ready to explore the world of non-parametric multivariate regression? Clone the repository, explore the provided examples, and start building prediction regions with ease and confidence. With this package, you can embrace the flexibility of distribution-free regression and make accurate predictions across diverse datasets.


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Conformal Prediction Package written in python

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