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leo-energy/README.md

👋 Hi, I'm Leonardo Xi

PhD Researcher in Energy Economics | FaaS & BESS Optimization | Grid Congestion & DEA Efficiency

📍 University of Algarve, Portugal | 📍 Utrecht University (2027)

LinkedIn Email ORCID GitHub


📖 Research Abstract

My doctoral research develops a tripartite cumulative framework bridging strategic management, non-parametric efficiency benchmarking (SBM-DEA), and explainable machine learning (Random Forest + SHAP) to optimize Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) flexibility arbitrage under volatile European electricity markets. Key contributions include:

  • R² = 0.9655 day-ahead price forecasting in TenneT (Netherlands)
  • ‑500 EUR/MWh negative price floor capture
  • Cross-market arbitrage using NL‑ES decoupling (r = 0.702)

🎯 Erasmus+ Research Traineeship (2026–2027)

I am actively seeking a research traineeship (up to 12 months) with energy institutions in Ireland and across Europe (SEAI, EirGrid, ESB Networks, UCD Energy Institute, MaREI, and other TSO/DSO/energy market organisations) to apply my data‑driven frameworks to wind‑dominated and high‑RES electricity systems.

🍀 Primary Focus: Ireland (Direct Match for EirGrid Context)

Irish Challenge My Research Transferable Solution
Short‑term grid congestion under high wind penetration Grid congestion ML models (TenneT/MIBEL validated)
VPP integration & flexibility asset dispatch FaaS platform optimization with SHAP‑based decision SOPs
Negative price event forecasting RF + SHAP pipeline with structural break detection (Crisis_Dummy)
Cross‑border interconnection efficiency SBM‑DEA panel benchmarking across 28 EU member states

🍀 EU Open to Wider European Opportunities

My methodologies are transferable to any market with:

  • High renewable penetration and price volatility
  • Active flexibility / ancillary service markets
  • Cross‑border interconnection dynamics

Target regions: Germany, Netherlands (TenneT), Nordics, Iberia (MIBEL), and other EU bidding zones.

📌 Current Status (Aug 2026)

  • Research Portfolio: Core methodological repositories are now populated and publicly accessible.
  • 🔄 Mobility Seeking: Actively exploring Erasmus+ research traineeship opportunities with Irish and European energy institutions.
  • 📧 Open to Collaboration: a92176@ualg.pt

🔬 Research Focus

Domain Core Areas
Energy Economics Electricity market design (EMD), FaaS platforms, BESS arbitrage & degradation
Operations Research SBM‑DEA, eco‑efficiency, cross‑border productivity, panel econometrics
Data Science ML price forecasting, XAI/SHAP, grid congestion prediction, time‑series ETL

🛠️ Technical Toolkit

Category Tools & Methods
Efficiency Analysis SBM‑DEA, Dynamic DEA, Panel Econometrics (Tobit / FE)
Machine Learning Python (Scikit‑learn), Random Forest, GPR, SHAP (XAI)
Deep Learning (planned) LSTM/TCN for probabilistic forecasting
Grid Simulation Pandapower, OpenSTEF
Data Pipeline ENTSO‑E API, Automated ETL, UTC synchronization
Reproducibility Git, Jupyter, VS Code + Cline (DeepSeek)

📂 Research Repositories

Repository Tech Stack Description Type
BESS_Flexibility_ML Python, SHAP, Scikit‑learn Explainable ML pipeline for price volatility & BESS dispatch (R²=0.9655) Core Research
Grid_Congestion_ML Python, SHAP, Scikit‑learn Grid congestion & negative price forecasting at system level Core Research
European_FaaS_DEA Python, Econometrics SBM‑DEA efficiency benchmarking of 28 EU electricity systems Core Research
DEA‑Efficiency‑Toolkit Python, Econometrics Reusable SBM‑DEA & Dynamic DEA modules Toolkit
ENTSOE‑Data‑Pipeline Python, ENTSO‑E API Scalable ETL pipeline for hourly European power market data Infrastructure

Note: Proprietary grid datasets and commercial optimization parameters are maintained in private repositories.


📫 Connect

Popular repositories Loading

  1. BESS_Flexibility_ML BESS_Flexibility_ML Public

    Python 1

  2. leo-energy leo-energy Public

  3. Grid_Congestion_ML Grid_Congestion_ML Public

  4. European_FaaS_DEA European_FaaS_DEA Public

  5. DEA-Efficiency-Toolkit DEA-Efficiency-Toolkit Public

  6. ENTSOE-Data-Pipeline ENTSOE-Data-Pipeline Public