Fix reported inference, forecasting, serialization, time-index handling and numerical robustness - #81

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ArdiaD wants to merge 20 commits into

fix/inference-dof-serialization

Commits on Aug 11, 2026

Fix the standard errors and p-values reported by summary()
ArdiaD
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0d3fad6
Rebuild the Rcpp modules when a saved spec or fit is reloaded
ArdiaD
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34d3f31
Count regime-constant parameters correctly in AIC and BIC
ArdiaD
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3a70656
Average over the posterior when forecasting from an MCMC fit
ArdiaD
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742674e
Add regression tests for the five fixes
ArdiaD
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3a562fd
Bump to 2.52 and record the fixes in NEWS
ArdiaD
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c93e218
pr description
ArdiaD
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6ce57bd

Commits on Aug 19, 2026

Fix the transposed cube write in the multi-regime in-sample CDF
ArdiaD
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1882d2c
Return the mixture, not the last regime, from the native log branches
ArdiaD
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828318b
Evaluate the two-sided p-value on the lower tail
ArdiaD
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6f04d2a
Compare the estimated BIC with the expected one in the BIC test
ArdiaD
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29f3abc
Remove the unreachable Sim methods for fit objects
ArdiaD
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6bfff8b
Drop the obsolete Rcpp:::LdFlags() call from Makevars
ArdiaD
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9017d7b
Record the remaining 2.52 fixes in NEWS
ArdiaD
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bcb8495
Update the review: C1 and C2 fixed, second-pass audit folded in
ArdiaD
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6dffa2a

Commits on Aug 20, 2026

Make the native filter and the stationary solve numerically robust
ArdiaD
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acf63b5
Fix time-index handling and validate public inputs
ArdiaD
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7fcb09d
Add regression tests for the robustness and validation fixes
ArdiaD
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4304f8f
Record the robustness and validation fixes in NEWS
ArdiaD
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ea0847d
Update the pull-request description for the full change set
ArdiaD
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0d4f7dc