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Project hosted lane wall time from measured worker ratios - #139

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j3w1 merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
orca/pes-133-lane-projection
Oct 25, 2026
Merged

j3w1 merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
orca/pes-133-lane-projection

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@j3w1 j3w1 commented Oct 25, 2026

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Hosted parallel shares were taking about twice the planner's largest-worker estimate, leaving the shard check green close to the hosted failure threshold. This records each share's wall time alongside its original planned worker time, retains paired calibration during refresh, and uses the lane's maximum recorded ratio to project hosted time.

Parallel shards and CI matrix rows increase from four to six. Existing worker and hosted wall failures remain; calibrated overload requires another shard below the cap and reports a numerical warning at the cap. Budgets, targets and the cap are unchanged. The checked-in calibration comes from a digest-verified historical plan and projects the slowest parallel share at about 239.8 seconds, a 59.8-second residual over the 180-second target.

Part of #133

Validation: all 11 local milestone gates pass on Python 3.13.15 and 3.14.8 against this frozen head; fresh independent final audit is CLEAN after both preserved findings were corrected. Hosted share measurements will follow this PR run.

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j3w1 merged commit deda03a into main Oct 25, 2026
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