docs: preserve causal suffix bundle design

[flyingrobots]

Summary

Preserves the two local-only main documentation commits by merging them onto current origin/main as a reconciled design packet.

Reconciliation Notes

• Local main had two unpublished causal suffix docs commits while origin/main had advanced through PR Compile runtime optic artifacts #504.
• The old local design packet used 0008, which now collides with 0008-holmes-counterfactual-provider-capability on origin/main.
• This PR renumbers the preserved packet to 0011-causal-suffix-bundle-family-and-runtime-sync.
• The old up-next queue card was not carried forward because docs/METHOD.md says pulled work moves from backlog into docs/design/ instead of living in both places.

Validation

• git diff --check
• cargo xtask docs-check
• pnpm run preflight
• pre-push repository preflight

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ℹ️ Review info

⚙️ Run configuration

Configuration used: Path: .coderabbit.yaml

Review profile: CHILL

Plan: Pro

Run ID: 99759c06-3f3c-4ee8-b639-e26fb8151ae3

📥 Commits

Reviewing files that changed from the base of the PR and between 685d301 and 3d36418.

📒 Files selected for processing (2)

• docs/design/0011-causal-suffix-bundle-family-and-runtime-sync/causal-suffix-bundle-family-and-runtime-sync.md
• docs/design/README.md

✨ Finishing Touches

🧪 Generate unit tests (beta)

• Create PR with unit tests
• Commit unit tests in branch docs/causal-suffix-bundle-family

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[github-actions]

🔍 The Case of Pull Request #505

Plain-English Readout

• Holmes (evidence investigation): Holmes says this change should not ship in its current state. Main reasons: No evidence citations were available for trust analysis; test evidence is incomplete; schema coverage is incomplete.
• Watson (independent verification): Watson found verification concerns. Most important concern: Low migration risk claimed but schema incomplete.
• Moriarty (trend forecast): Moriarty sees progress as stalled right now, so forecast confidence is limited.

Suggested next actions

1. Tighten citations so the report points to exact lines instead of whole files or coarse references.
2. Resolve Watson’s verification concerns before trusting the Holmes verdict as final.
3. Treat the readiness forecast as stalled until new evidence or real progress moves the trend again.
4. Add or strengthen tests for the schema elements and operations HOLMES flagged as weakly proven.

📚 Glossary (what the Holmes terms mean)

• HOLMES: Wesley’s main evidence investigation. It decides whether the cited proof is strong enough to justify shipping this commit.
• WATSON: An independent verification pass. It checks Holmes’s citations and score math instead of trusting them blindly.
• MORIARTY: A readiness forecast over time. It is advisory trend analysis, not the release gate itself.
• Schema coverage score (SCS): How much of the schema has direct supporting evidence across generated artifacts and cited proof.
• Test confidence index (TCI): How much test evidence exists for constraints, policies, relationships, and operations.
• Migration risk index (MRI): How risky the schema change is to roll out. Lower is better.
• Evidence trust: Whether the report is backed by exact citations, whole-file citations, or coarse references. Weak trust means the claim may be directionally right but not specific enough to trust blindly.
• Citation quality: A count of exact line-span citations versus whole-file or coarse references.
• ELEMENTARY: Ready to ship based on the current evidence.
• REQUIRES INVESTIGATION: More work or review is needed before shipping.
• YOU SHALL NOT PASS: Do not ship this change in its current state.

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🕵️ SHA-lock HOLMES full report (click to expand)

🕵️ SHA-lock HOLMES Investigation

• Generated: 2026-05-13T13:10:04.099Z
• Commit SHA: d3b388c
• Bundle Version: 2.0.0

⚠️ Evidence valid only for commit d3b388c

🔍 Executive Deduction

"Watson, after careful examination of the evidence, I deduce..."

Weighted Completion: ░░░░░░░░░░ 0.0%
Scores: SCS 0.0% · TCI 0.0% · MRI 0.0%
Verification Status: 0 claims verified
Citation Quality: 0 exact · 0 whole-file · 0 coarse
Evidence Trust: missing
Ship Verdict: YOU SHALL NOT PASS

🧩 SCS Breakdown

Component	Score	Coverage
Sql	0.0%	0.00/154.00
Types	0.0%	0.00/154.00
Validation	0.0%	0.00/154.00
Tests	0.0%	0.00/154.00

🧪 TCI Breakdown

Component	Score	Coverage	Note
Unit Constraints	0.0%	0/104	N/A
Unit Rls	0.0%	—	N/A
Integration Relations	0.0%	0/3	N/A
E2e Ops	N/A	—	Query operation test tracking not yet implemented

⚠️ MRI Breakdown

Component	Risk Share	Points	Count
Drops	0%	0	0
Renames Without Uid	0%	0	0
Add Not Null Without Default	0%	0	0
Non Concurrent Indexes	0%	0	0

📊 The Weight of Evidence

"Observe, Watson, how not all features carry equal importance..."

Element	Weight	Status	Evidence	Strength	Deduction

🚪 Security & Performance Gates

"Elementary security measures, Watson..."

Gate	Status	Evidence	Holmes's Ruling
Migration Risk	✅	MRI: 0.0%	"Trivial risk"
Test Coverage	⚠️	TCI: 0.0%	"Theatrical tests!"
Sensitive Fields	✅	0 fields	"All secured"
Evidence Quality	⛔	0 exact · 0 whole-file · 0 coarse	"No evidence citations were available for trust analysis."

📋 The Verdict

⛔ YOU SHALL NOT PASS
"Critical evidence is missing! Return to your laboratory!"

Signed and sealed,

• S. Holmes, Consulting Detective

[END OF INVESTIGATION FOR COMMIT d3b388c]

🧵 Command Run

• Run ID: run-mp42v1ii-v01jcj
• Transmutation: holmes-investigate
• Command: investigate
• Status: completed
• Ledger: /home/runner/work/wesley/wesley/test/fixtures/examples/.wesley-cache/ledger

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🩺 Dr. WATSON full report (click to expand)

🩺 Dr. Watson's Independent Verification Report

Medical Examination of Evidence

• Examination Date: 2026-05-13T13:11:13.420Z
• Patient SHA: d3b388c

🔬 Citation Verification

"Let me examine each piece of evidence independently..."

• Citations Examined: 0
• Verified: 0 ✅
• Failed: 0 ❌
• Unable to Verify: 0
• Exact Subrange Citations: 0
• Whole-file Citations: 0
• Coarse Citations: 0
• Evidence Trust: missing
• Trust Note: No evidence citations were available for trust analysis.

Verification Rate: 0.0%

📊 Mathematical Verification

"I shall recalculate Holmes's arithmetic..."

Holmes claimed SCS: 0.0%
Watson calculates: 0.0%
Difference: ✅ Negligible

🔍 Consistency Analysis

"Checking for contradictions in Holmes's deductions..."

⚠️ Low migration risk claimed but schema incomplete

🩺 Dr. Watson's Medical Opinion

VERIFICATION: CONCERNS NOTED ⚠️

"While Holmes's methods are generally sound, I have noted some"
"discrepancies that warrant further investigation. No evidence citations were available for trust analysis."

Respectfully submitted,

• Dr. J. Watson, M.D.
  Medical Examiner & Verification Specialist

🧵 Command Run

• Run ID: run-mp42vqpu-q1b4xk
• Transmutation: watson-verify
• Command: verify
• Status: completed
• Ledger: /home/runner/work/wesley/wesley/test/fixtures/examples/.wesley-cache/ledger

---

🔮 Professor MORIARTY full report (click to expand)

🧠 Professor Moriarty's Temporal Predictions

The Mathematics of Inevitability

• Analysis Date: 2026-05-13T13:11:55.066Z

🔮 Current State

SCS: ░░░░░░░░░░ 0.0%
TCI: ░░░░░░░░░░ 0.0%
MRI: 0.0% risk
Evidence Trust: missing

📈 Velocity Analysis

SCS Velocity: +0.00%/day
Git Activity (window): 24h · commits 28 (0 relevant) · ~28.00 commits/day
↳ Magnitude: ~0 relevant LOC/day across ~0.0 files/day
Activity Index: 10 / 100 (PR 0, Window 25)
Blended Velocity: +0.06%/day
Commit Size Burstiness: 0 / 100 (higher = more uneven commit sizes)
⚠️ PLATEAU DETECTED - Low SCS movement and low recent Git activity.

⏰ Completion Predictions

ETA: Cannot predict (insufficient velocity)

"At current velocity, completion is... improbable."

⚠️ Warnings

• Evidence trust is missing; No evidence citations were available for trust analysis.

🧪 Readiness EXPLAIN

• SCS ≥ 80% → FAIL ❌ (actual 0.0%)
• TCI ≥ 70% → FAIL ❌ (actual 0.0%)
• MRI ≤ 40% → PASS ✅ (actual 0.0%)
• CI Stability ≥ 90% (branch main) → FAIL ❌ (actual 89% over ~168h)
• Evidence Trust ≥ moderate → FAIL ❌ (actual missing) — No evidence citations were available for trust analysis.
• Delivery context (last 168h): 0 issues closed · 6 PRs merged (informational, not gating)

Signals blend: SCS velocity (70%) + Git activity (30%, branch-first). Activity only suppresses false plateaus; it never inflates readiness.

📊 Historical Trajectory

05-13: ░░░░░░░░░░ 0.0%
05-13: ░░░░░░░░░░ 0.0%
05-13: ░░░░░░░░░░ 0.0%

"Every problem becomes elementary when reduced to mathematics"
— Professor Moriarty

🧵 Command Run

• Run ID: run-mp42wmuw-ckx63w
• Transmutation: moriarty-predict
• Command: predict
• Status: completed
• Ledger: /home/runner/work/wesley/wesley/test/fixtures/examples/.wesley-cache/ledger

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Machine-readable reports: holmes-report.json · watson-report.json · moriarty-report.json (see workflow artifacts).

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