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Turn depth was not the taxis bottleneck: the promise measured at power, and refuted - #218

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The epilogue to #196, and the most useful null of the campaign.

The promise, measured properly

The standing diagnosis said taxis outcomes were small because the turn was shallow; clearing the turn-depth ceiling (#215) was supposed to re-open them. tools/chemo_power.py measured that promise at power — 16/16 paired seeds, every trial completing (the runner caches each finished trial to a resumable JSONL instead of losing most of the batch to the pooled timeout, which is why the compare batteries only ever had 4 paired animals):

metric shipped (tau 2.5) old (tau 1.5) paired
chemotaxis index 0.026 0.072 −0.045 [−0.154, +0.034]
approach mm −14.6 −10.7 −3.9 [−9.5, +2.3]
weathervane slope 1.06 1.61 −0.55 [−2.69, +1.31]
pirouette ratio (down/up, pooled) 0.79 1.41 —

Refuted. The deep turn does not improve chemotaxis; the n=4 "trending better" was the noise its own MDE line warned about. The deep turn stays — #215 was adopted on fit-maintenance grounds (the animal's own ~35% deep-turn fraction) that stand regardless.

Where the bottleneck actually lives

Conditioning was weak even before (ratio 1.41 against the strong modulation of Pierce-Shimomura's worms), and the deep-turn animal's up-gradient reversal rate doubled (1.82 → 3.44/min), flipping the ratio to 0.79. Two candidate explanations to separate first: deep omega excursions contaminating the mechanical reversal detector (the estimator lesson, a third time), or genuine dilution of conditioning by sensory-independent reorientation. Either way, the chemotaxis-magnitude hunt is now about the sensory-to-turn coupling — how strongly dC/dt gates the pirouette machinery — not the turn itself. NEXT.md's taxis item carries the redirect.

Also in this stretch

The scorecard freshness workflow made its first autonomous commit to main after the PYTHONPATH fix (#217): the emitted table now measures the post-PVD, deep-turn animal — the buffer ghost row is gone (per-seed 0.85s, wavelength ±0.01 where it was ±2.40), and peak curvature shows the sharper omega (14.5/mm vs the animal's 9.8 — worth an eye).

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

https://claude.ai/code/session_01CBroMXcYdfkyb5buJPcKvL


Generated by Claude Code

…r, and refuted

The standing diagnosis said taxis outcomes were small because the turn was
shallow, and clearing the ceiling (#215) was supposed to re-open them. A
new runner (tools/chemo_power.py -- every trial completes, cached to a
resumable JSONL instead of dying to the pooled batch timeout that left the
compare batteries at 4 paired animals of 16) measured the promise on all
sixteen paired seeds: no effect on any chemotaxis metric, point estimates
leaning worse, CI -0.045 [-0.154, +0.034]. The n=4 "trending better" was
the noise its own MDE line warned about. The deep turn stays -- it was
adopted on fit-maintenance grounds that stand -- but the taxis-magnitude
hunt moves: conditioning was weak even before (pirouette down/up ratio
1.41 against the strong modulation of real worms) and reads 0.79 on the
deep-turn animal, so the next questions are whether deep omegas contaminate
the mechanical reversal detector (the estimator lesson, a third time) and
how strongly dC/dt actually gates the pirouette machinery.

Also in this stretch: the scorecard freshness workflow made its first
autonomous commit to main after the PYTHONPATH fix (#217) -- the emitted
table now measures the post-PVD, deep-turn animal, the buffer ghost row is
gone, and peak curvature shows the sharper omega (14.5 /mm against the
animal's 9.8, worth an eye).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01CBroMXcYdfkyb5buJPcKvL
@YesterdaysLemon
YesterdaysLemon marked this pull request as ready for review August 28, 2026 21:57
@YesterdaysLemon
YesterdaysLemon merged commit a59f173 into main Aug 28, 2026
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YesterdaysLemon added a commit that referenced this pull request Sep 24, 2026
… the circuit never conditioned (#219)

The #218 epilogue asked whether the deep-turn animal's pirouette flip (1.41 -> 0.79)
was the mechanical reversal detector or the animal. tools/pirouette_audit.py re-ran the
same 32 paired trials (reproduction exact: CI 0.026/0.072, reversals 8.94/7.19, onset
sets identical) recording the command gate and omega amplitude, and matched every
mechanical onset to the backward command behind it.

The detector. The circuit's own up-gradient command rate held (3.65 -> 3.51/min); the
model's ~0.35 s commands mostly vanish into the detector's 1 s boxcar, and the longer
omega made more of them visible (35% -> 59%) by sliding the body tail-first after them.
88% of the up-rate rise is onsets that arrive after the command is over. The flip never
cleared noise (paired contrast -1.46 [-3.36, +0.03]), and on command onsets neither
circuit conditions detectably: 0.98 [0.77, 1.27] and 1.15 [0.95, 1.40].

The omega backs the body up. Cloned at each command's end and run on with and without
the omega (same state, same noise), the turn adds +0.88 s [+0.56, +1.22] of uncommanded
tail-first sliding along the body's own arc per command, dose-dependent. A real omega
is a forward manoeuvre; NEXT.md carries it as a defect.

Infrastructure: run_trial gains `extra` readout columns (additive only) and _chemo_job's
scoring is split into _chemo_score/_chemo_placement so an audit can score by exactly the
shipped definition. assays.reversals keeps its definition and gains the caveat.


Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_012h2LYe7qYrwKN3DC2193FW

Co-authored-by: Claude <noreply@anthropic.com>
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