Skip to content

fix(heldout): declare judge-effect sample size - #1101

Draft
seonghobae wants to merge 4 commits into
codex/declared-reliability-sample-size-20260908from
codex/declared-judge-sample-size-20260908
Draft

fix(heldout): declare judge-effect sample size#1101
seonghobae wants to merge 4 commits into
codex/declared-reliability-sample-size-20260908from
codex/declared-judge-sample-size-20260908

Conversation

@seonghobae

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor

Stack

Draft successor of #1100 (9ff12b5d). Parents #1099, #1098, #1097, #1096, #1095, #1093, #1092, #1091, #1090, #1074, and psychometric KPI owner #1067 stay open. This PR does not close #1100.

Exact head: cdbc6a03605bff2d3a66b6404b324c3e376b30f2.

Problem

Held-out judge-severity evidence hid JUDGE_SAMPLE_SIZE = 1_000, so the fully crossed many-facet design used a repository-selected person population.

Change

  • Require declared sample_size on _validate_judge_effects. Missing, boolean, or non-positive values fail closed.
  • The harness run still writes 1,000 as this run's choice and records sample_size.
  • ADR 0052 is Proposed. Production route/conduct defaults stay locked.

Verification

Local smallest tests:

  • 66 passed in 16.32s (tests/test_psychometric_routing.py, tests/test_psychometric_benchmark_boundaries.py, tests/test_planning_adr_identifiers.py)
  • interrogate on the held-out script: 100%

This is declaration-contract evidence, not buyer-held-out accuracy, p95 latency, or protected merge.

Remaining no-heuristics work

Other harness sample sizes (exploration rate, item-covariate) remain later slices. No production policy or release is authorized. Parent #1067 still needs independent review.

Judge-severity evidence must fail closed without a positive sample_size,
and the declared count must be the fully crossed person population.
Remove the hidden 1,000-row many-facet default. The harness run still
writes 1,000 as this run's choice and records sample_size.
ADR 0052 is Proposed. Production route/conduct defaults stay locked.
@coderabbitai

coderabbitai Bot commented Sep 7, 2026

Copy link
Copy Markdown

Important

Draft PR not reviewed

Draft PRs are not automatically reviewed by default.

  • Trigger a manual review

To automatically review draft PRs, update your CodeRabbit configuration:

reviews:
  auto_review:
    drafts: true

Thanks for using CodeRabbit! It's free for OSS, and your support helps us grow. If you like it, consider giving us a shout-out.

❤️ Share

Comment @coderabbitai help to get the list of available commands.

@seonghobae seonghobae added bug Something isn't working priority: medium Normal-priority or P2 work labels Sep 8, 2026 — with ChatGPT Codex Connector
Signed-off-by: Seongho Bae <me@seonghobae.me>
@seonghobae

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Contributor Author

Normal predecessor integration at 8a04a5c retains original judge sample declaration cdbc6a0 and includes predecessor 3e85d32. No-detection censoring, alarm/detection denominators, null ineligible calibration candidate and retained calibration results now propagate through this stack. Merged-tree validation: 33 boundary/ADR identifier tests passed in 5.80 seconds; Ruff and diff whitespace checks passed; CodeGraph indexing completed. No force push or discarded delta. This is local regression evidence, not real-data accuracy, protected merge or release evidence. Required checks and reviews must use the new head.

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

bug Something isn't working priority: medium Normal-priority or P2 work

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant