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ProductOracle

The AI that decides what to build next

ProductOracle is a product decision engine for product leaders that ingests customer + revenue + usage signals and produces a ranked, strategy-aware roadmap with probabilistic impact and explainable rationale.

Wedge (current focus)

Revenue-coupled prioritization from multi-source signal -> ranked bets -> weekly decision pack.

Positioning: turn messy product signals into a ranked, revenue-tied roadmap with explainable EV and assumptions.

Run locally

npm i
npm run dev

Current status

  • Landing + dashboard MVP is live and demoable
  • CSV/TXT signal ingestion and explainable prioritization are working
  • Strategy Profiles + capacity constraints are scaffolded
  • Weekly decision pack export (.md) is working
  • Optional Gemma AI synthesis is integrated (via Google Gemini API free tier)
  • Uses Next.js 15 App Router, TypeScript, Tailwind CSS, shadcn/ui, lucide-react

Gemma AI (optional)

For AI-powered prioritization insights on the dashboard, add your free Google AI Studio API key to .env.local:

GEMINI_API_KEY=your_key_here

Get a free key at https://aistudio.google.com/app/apikey. Then enable "Use Gemma AI" when processing signals. No local server required.

30-day proof plan

In 30 days, ProductOracle should show:

  1. 2 real connectors live (support + CRM or analytics)
  2. EV-based ranking under capacity constraints
  3. Weekly decision pack used in real planning cadence
  4. At least 1 shipped bet with predicted vs actual outcome logged

Moat thesis

The moat is not the model. It is:

  1. Outcome feedback loop (prediction -> actual -> calibration)
  2. Company-specific objective function + priors
  3. Institutional memory graph (decision history + evidence + rationale)
  4. Cross-source normalization and dedupe quality over time

Roadmap

  • Week 1: Strategy profiles + capacity-constrained optimizer
  • Week 2: Connectors v1 (support + CRM) with normalized schema
  • Week 3: Probabilistic EV (risk-adjusted EV + sensitivity)
  • Week 4: Outcomes + calibration + weekly pack v2

See docs/EXECUTION-PLAN.md for full narrative and demo script.

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Strategy-aware product roadmap engine with probabilistic impact scoring

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