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Wow, you have taken a very comprehensive and thoughtful approach and covered many angles.

However, my main reaction is that of the four columns in your table, only the first column is trustable. And in fact, even the first column is not necessarily foolproof since it only assesses reliability (but does not assess bias). (E.g. see https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270895).

For columns two through four, I understand the underlying motivation, but in general, I would suggest to be very very cautious about putting too much stake into your expectations/priors. If wrong, these can easily lead you astray.

At this point, the issues are quite complex and it is difficult to say much concretely.…

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@Brady-RT-Roberts
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@kendrickkay
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